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1. Identity statement
Reference TypeJournal Article
Sitemtc-m21d.sid.inpe.br
Holder Codeisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Identifier8JMKD3MGP3W34T/45SHU4S
Repositorysid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2021/11.29.13.16   (restricted access)
Last Update2021:11.29.13.16.10 (UTC) simone
Metadata Repositorysid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2021/11.29.13.16.10
Metadata Last Update2022:04.03.22.27.43 (UTC) administrator
DOI10.1016/j.rsase.2021.100618
ISSN2352-9385
Citation KeyLealGuiDalPalKam:2021:CaStUs
TitleA new approach to detect extreme events: a case study using remotely-sensed precipitation time-series data
Year2021
MonthNov.
Access Date2024, May 19
Type of Workjournal article
Secondary TypePRE PI
Number of Files1
Size7061 KiB
2. Context
Author1 Leal, Philipe Riskalla
2 Guimarães, Ricardo José de Paula Souza e
3 Dall Cortivo, Fábio
4 Palharini, Rayana Santos de Araújo
5 Kampel, Milton
Resume Identifier1
2
3
4
5 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHTG
Group1 SER-SRE-DIPGR-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
2
3 YYY-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
4 SER-SRE-DIPGR-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
5 DIOTG-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
Affiliation1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
2 Instituto Evandro Chagas (IEC)
3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
Author e-Mail Address1 leal.philipe@gmail.com
2 ricardojpsg@gmail.com
3 fdcortivo@gmail.com
4 rayana.palharini@gmail.com
5 milton.kampel@inpe.br
JournalRemote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment
Volume24
Pagese100618
History (UTC)2021-11-29 13:16:38 :: simone -> administrator :: 2021
2022-04-03 22:27:43 :: administrator -> simone :: 2021
3. Content and structure
Is the master or a copy?is the master
Content Stagecompleted
Transferable1
Content TypeExternal Contribution
Version Typepublisher
KeywordsExtreme event detection
Precipitation time-series analysis
Brazilian Amazon region
Climate change
AbstractDetecting and predicting extreme events are of major importance for socioeconomic, healthcare and ecological purposes. This study proposes an alternative model to detect extreme events based on analyses of probability distribution functionffns s (f((X))), called Optimum Probability Distribution Function Searcher Model (Opt.PDF-model). The Opt.PDFmodel involves the optimization of a fitness function between an histogram and a set of theoretical f((X)), and the subsequent evaluation of the Probability Point Function (PPF) of the fittest theoretical (f((X))) to assess threshold values for the classification of extreme events. Any occurrence in the dataset with a PPF value equal to or greater than 90% was considered an extreme event candidate. A satellite-derived precipitation time-series (Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data) was used to calibrate and validate the proposed model, with data on accumulated precipitation from more than 30 years (Jan.1981 to Dec.2018) of the Brazilian Amazon region. The proposed method was pairwise cross-validated with two other extreme event models based on Gamma and Gaussian distributions, as applied by the European Drought Observatory of the European Environment Agency. Aditionally, all three extreme event classification models were cross-validated relative to the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO). By means of the Opt.PDF-model, it was possible to evidence two positive temporal trends for the area of study: one for more intense precipitation events, and another for less intense events. The pairwise cross-validation analysis returned specific Kappa's similarity indices, and the highest similarity was observed between the Gamma and the Opt.PDF models (48% for PPF(97.7%)). This analysis indicated that extreme event detection models are highly sensitive to distribution family priors and to threshold definitions. The proposed approach and the results obtained here are potentially useful for climate change warnings, and can be extended to other scientific areas that involve time-series analyses.
AreaSRE
Arrangement 1urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção pgr ATUAIS > SER > A new approach...
Arrangement 2urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção a partir de 2021 > CGCT > A new approach...
doc Directory Contentaccess
source Directory Contentthere are no files
agreement Directory Content
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4. Conditions of access and use
Languageen
Target Fileleal_new.pdf
User Groupsimone
Reader Groupadministrator
simone
Visibilityshown
Read Permissiondeny from all and allow from 150.163
Update Permissionnot transferred
5. Allied materials
Next Higher Units8JMKD3MGPCW/3F3NU5S
8JMKD3MGPCW/46KUATE
Citing Item Listsid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/10.18.22.34 2
sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.56.38 1
DisseminationPORTALCAPES; SCOPUS.
Host Collectionurlib.net/www/2021/06.04.03.40
6. Notes
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7. Description control
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